Abstract
Objective
Study design
Results
Conclusions
Implications
Keywords
1. Introduction
- Guttmacher Institute
- Mavranezouli I.
- PATH
- Cover J.
- Namagembe A.
- Tumusiime J.
- Nsangi D.
- Lim J.
- Nakiganda-Busiku D.
- Cover J.
- Namagembe A.
- Tumusiime J.
- Nsangi D.
- Lim J.
- Nakiganda-Busiku D.
- Di Giorgio L.
- Tumusiime J.
- Namagembe A.
- Ba A.
- Belemsaga-Yugbare D.
- Morozoff C.
- et al.
2. Methods
2.1 Comparison of DMPA delivery strategies
- Cover J.
- Namagembe A.
- Tumusiime J.
- Nsangi D.
- Lim J.
- Nakiganda-Busiku D.
2.2 Overview of the cost-effectiveness model
- Mavranezouli I.
- Cover J.
- Namagembe A.
- Tumusiime J.
- Nsangi D.
- Lim J.
- Nakiganda-Busiku D.

2.3 Model data inputs
- Di Giorgio L.
- Tumusiime J.
- Namagembe A.
- Ba A.
- Belemsaga-Yugbare D.
- Morozoff C.
- et al.
Parameter | Base case | Data source | Minimum; maximum; For one-way sensitivity analysis |
---|---|---|---|
Costs under the health system perspective | |||
Direct medical costs of DMPA-SC self-injection for 4 injections | $8.11/6.35 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | − |
Direct medical costs for first visit for DMPA-SC self-injection at the health facility | $5.44/3.68 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $2.50; $10.88 |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-SC self-injection away from the facility | $0.89 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.85; $1.78 |
Direct medical costs of health-worker-administered DMPA-IM for 4 injections | $5.46 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | − |
Direct medical costs for first DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $1.65 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.83; $3.30 |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $1.27 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.83; $2.16 |
Direct medical costs of the ACM for 0.5 year after discontinuing DMPA-SC | $1.20 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.60; $2.40 |
Direct medical costs of the ACM for 0.5 year after discontinuing DMPA-IM | $0.64 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.32; $1.28 |
Costs under the societal perspective | |||
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs of DMPA-SC self-injection for 4 injections | $9.72/$7.96 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | − |
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs for first visit for DMPA-SC self-injection at the health facility | $6.78/$5.02 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $3.39; $10.88 |
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs for each subsequent DMPA-SC self-injection away from the facility | $0.98 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.85; $1.78 |
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs of health-worker-administered DMPA-IM for 4 injections | $10.12 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | − |
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs for first DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $2.77 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.83; $6.38 |
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs for each subsequent DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $2.45 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.83; $3.85 |
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs of the ACM for 0.5 year after discontinuing DMPA-SC | $1.82 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.91; $3.62 |
Direct medical and direct nonmedical costs of the ACM for 0.5 year after discontinuing DMPA-IM | $0.88 | Di Giorgio et al., 2018 [21]
Costs of administering injectable contraception through health workers and self-injection: evidence from Burkina Faso, Uganda and Senegal. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.05.018. pii: S0010-7824(18)30194-X. [Epub ahead of print]]) | $0.44; $1.75 |
Direct medical costs of pregnancy | |||
Birth and newborn care costs | $59.43 | Babigumira et al., 2011 [34] | $29.72; $118.86 |
Miscarriage (between 12 and 22 weeks) | $2.58 | Babigumira et al., 2011 [34] | $1.29; $5.16 |
Abortion | $88.94 | Babigumira et al., 2011 [34] | $44.47; $177.88 |
- Cover J.
- Namagembe A.
- Tumusiime J.
- Nsangi D.
- Lim J.
- Nakiganda-Busiku D.
Indicator | Base case (rate) | Data source | Minimum and maximum values used in the sensitivity analysis |
---|---|---|---|
Continuation rates | |||
12-month continuation rate with DMPA-SC self-injection | 0.81 | Cover et al., 2018 [18]
Continuation of injectable contraception when self-injected versus administered by a facility-based health worker: a non-randomized, prospective cohort study in Uganda. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.03.032. pii: S0010-7824(18)30133-1. [Epub ahead of print].]) | 0.60; 0.95 |
12-month continuation rate with DMPA-IM | 0.65 | Cover et al., 2018 [18]
Continuation of injectable contraception when self-injected versus administered by a facility-based health worker: a non-randomized, prospective cohort study in Uganda. Contraception. 2018; ([Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.contraception.2018.03.032. pii: S0010-7824(18)30133-1. [Epub ahead of print].]) | 0.40; 0.85 |
Types of contraceptives to which women switched after discontinuing self-injection of DMPA-SC (among those who had already switched to another contraceptive or planned to do so within 30 days) | |||
Oral contraceptives | 9 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | See footnote b These percentages are correlated and add to 1. The sensitivity analysis focused on changing the most common method women switched to after discontinuing self-injection of DMPA-SC and adjusted the percentages for the other methods so that the total would still be 100%. In the low scenario, we assumed that less women would switch to injectables provided by a health worker and would switch to less effective methods. We assumed that 40% would use injectables and increased the percentages in the less effective methods. In the high-value scenario, we assumed that 70% of the women would switch to injectables provided by a health worker. |
Intrauterine device | 9 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
DMPA-IM or DMPA-SC administered by a health worker | 69 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Implant | 5 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Male condoms | 9 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Traditional methods | 0 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Types of contraceptives to which women switched after discontinuing health-worker-administered DMPA-IM (among those who had already switched to another contraceptive or decided to switch) | |||
Oral contraceptives | 5 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | See footnote c Similar to the above, we modified the most common method used by women discontinuing health-worker-administered DMPA-IM. In the low scenario, we assumed that 20% of the women would switch to using condoms and more would opt for more effective methods. In the high-value scenario, we assumed that 70% of the women would switch to using condoms. Similarly, other percentages were adjusted such that the percentages add to 100%. |
Intrauterine device | 5 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Other injectable administered by a health worker | 5 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Implant | 20 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Male condoms | 55 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Traditional methods | 10 | Cover, personal communication, 2017 | |
Cumulative effective rates [1−failure rate] of injectables and other contraceptives to which women switched after discontinuation (for 12 months of use in Uganda) | |||
Injectable effectiveness | 95.6 | Polis, 2016 [24] | 90;97 |
Oral contraceptives | 87.4 | Polis, 2016 [24] | 83;92 |
Intrauterine device | 98.8 | Polis, 2016 [24] | 95;100 |
Implant | 99.2 | Polis, 2016 [24] | 95;100 |
Male condoms | 94.6 | Polis, 2016 [24] | 90;98 |
Traditional method (average of withdrawal and periodic abstinence) | 82.1 | Polis, 2016 [24] | 73;87 |
Weighted average effectiveness of the ACM to which women switched | |||
ACM effectiveness (typical use) among women who discontinued self-injection of DMPA-SC | 91.3 | Calculated | 85; 100 |
ACM effectiveness (typical use) among women who discontinued health-worker-administered DMPA-IM | 87.3 | Calculated | 81; 92 |
Probability of pregnancy outcomes | |||
Probability of a delivery | 71 | Prada et al. 2016 [35] | See footnote |
Probability of a miscarriage | 16 | Prada et al. 2016 [35] | |
Probability of an abortion | 14 | Prada et al. 2016 [35] | |
Inputs for the DALY calculations | |||
YLL per maternal death (all causes) | 56.499 | Murray et al., 2010 [26] | NA |
DALY ratio (YLD/YLL) | 0.103 | Murray et al., 2010 [26] | NA |
2.4 Analysis
2.5 Sensitivity analysis
2.6 Ethical approval
3. Results
3.1 Base case analyses
Costs | Pregnancies averted | Maternal DALYs averted | |
---|---|---|---|
Societal: research design | |||
DMPA-SC | $6,549,568 | 134,402 | 19,998 |
DMPA-IM | $6,633,425 | 123,575 | 18,378 |
Incremental | ($83,857) | 10,827 | 1620 |
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio | Self-injected DMPA-SC is dominant | Self-injected DMPA-SC is dominant | |
Societal: programmatic implementation | |||
DMPA-SC | $5,632,352 | 134,402 | 19,998 |
DMPA-IM | $6,633,425 | 123,575 | 18,378 |
Incremental | ($1,001,073) | 10,827 | 1620 |
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio | Self-injected DMPA-SC is dominant | Self-injected DMPA-SC is dominant | |
Health system: research design | |||
DMPA-SC | $5,667,770 | 134,402 | 19,998 |
DMPA-IM | $4,592,291 | 123,575 | 18,378 |
Incremental | $1,075,478 | 10,827 | 1620 |
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio | $99/pregnancy averted | $664/DALY averted | |
Health system: programmatic implementation | |||
DMPA-SC | $4,750,553 | 134,402 | 19,998 |
DMPA-IM | $4,592,291 | 123,575 | 18,378 |
Incremental | $158,262 | 10,827 | 1620 |
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio | $15/pregnancy averted | $98/DALY averted |
3.2 Sensitivity analysis

Variable 1 | Variable 2 | Low of both variables 1 and 2 | Low value of variable 1 and high of variable 2 | High value of variable 1 low value of variable 2 | High of both variables 1 and 2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Direct medical costs for first visit for DMPA-SC self-injection at the health facility | ACM effectiveness among women who discontinued health-worker-administered DMPA-IM | Dominant | $36 | $993 | $11,713 |
12-month continuation rate with DMPA-IM | Dominant | Dominant | $1100 | $2414 | |
Direct medical costs for first DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | Dominant | Dominant | $2678 | $1883 | |
ACM effectiveness among women who discontinued self-injection of DMPA-SC | Dominant | Dominant | $6197 | $1173 | |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-SC self-injection away from the facility | Dominant | $468 | $2380 | $3164 | |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $44 | Dominant | $2739 | $1755 | |
Effectiveness of injectable contraceptives | Dominant | Dominant | $4771 | $2207 | |
ACM effectiveness among women who discontinued health-worker-administered DMPA-IM | 12-month continuation rate with DMPA-IM | Dominant | $155 | $584 | Dominated |
Direct medical costs for first DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | Dominant | Dominant | $2823 | Dominant | |
ACM effectiveness among women who discontinued self-injection of DMPA-SC | Dominant | Dominant | Dominated | $91 | |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-SC self-injection away from the facility | Dominant | $224 | $1534 | $4930 | |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $16 | Dominant | $3090 | Dominant | |
Effectiveness of injectable contraceptives | Dominant | Dominant | Dominated | $1339 | |
12-month continuation rate with DMPA-IM | Direct medical costs for first DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $74 | Dominant | $2773 | Dominant |
ACM effectiveness among women who discontinued self-injection of DMPA-SC | $66 | Dominant | Dominated | Dominant | |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-SC self-injection away from the facility | Dominant | $317 | $1224 | $5307 | |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $69 | Dominant | $3390 | Dominant | |
Effectiveness of injectable contraceptives | $328 | Dominant | $743 | $1443 | |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | ACM effectiveness among women who discontinued self-injection of DMPA-SC | $1497 | $72 | Dominant | Dominant |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-SC self-injection away from the facility | $390 | $1173 | Dominant | $189 | |
Effectiveness of injectable contraceptives | Dominated | $719 | $1275 | Dominant | |
ACM effectiveness among women who discontinued self-injection of DMPA-SC | Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-SC self-injection away from the facility | $120 | $1006 | Dominant | $439 |
Direct medical costs for each subsequent DMPA-IM injection by a facility-based health worker | $1497 | Dominant | $72 | Dominant | |
Effectiveness of injectable contraceptives | Dominated | $543 | Dominant | Dominant |

4. Discussion
Acknowledgments
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Footnotes
☆Acknowledgment of funding: This work was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA (grant number OPP1060986). The funder did not play a role in study design; the collection, analysis and interpretation of data; the writing of the report or the decision to submit the article for publication.
☆☆Declaration of interest: N/A.
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